000
FZPN03 KNHC 021522
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE AUG 02 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 04.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 18.8N 128.9W 999 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG
02 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 90
NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 20.8N 133.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 120 S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO
23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT WITHIN 210 N AND 150 S SEMICIRCLES.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 22.2N 139.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS
TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 21N TO 27N W OF
136W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF
10N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL HOWARD NEAR 22.8N 145.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 23.0N
150.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 23.0N
155.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 17N111W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N113.5S 1008 MB
TO 10N114W. WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT
SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
14N118.5W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT OF LOW WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
16N123.5W. WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W N TO
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC TUE AUG 02...

.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90
NM N SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED FROM 18N TO 22N
BETWEEN 125W AND 130W. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N113.5W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM
13NTO 16N BETWEEN 110W AND 116W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 10N90W TO 09N100W TO
11.5N110W TO 10N120W...THEN RESUMES AT 12N129W TO BEYOND
10N140W. CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM
03N TO 05N E OF 79W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 07.5N BETWEEN 79W AND 88W. SIMILAR
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 116W AND 119W...
AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 129W AND 132W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.