000
FZPN03 KNHC 012136
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON AUG 01 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 03.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 17.3N 125.3W 999 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
01 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 120 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 19.7N 129.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND
30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 21.8N
135.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE
QUADRANT...240 NM SW QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 22.9N
141.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 23.3N
146.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 23.4N
151.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO
13N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 14N95WW...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.

.S OF 01N BETWEEN 113W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9
FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S W OF 103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
12N119W 1009MB. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 8 FT IN E WIND WAVES AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
12N122W 1009MB. WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE E TO NE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2030 UTC MON AUG 01...

.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM
12N TO 19N BETWEEN 121W AND 126W.

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 06N TO 13N ALONG 106W...SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N113W TO
17N106W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 08N94W TO 12N107W TO 09N114W TO
11N118W...THEN RESUMES SW OF T.S. HOWARD NEAR 11N125W TO BEYOND
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 06N
TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 100W...FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 102W
AND 108W AND FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 124W AND 135W.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.