000
FZPN03 KNHC 192144
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE JUL 19 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 21.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 19.0N 119.8W 993 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL
19 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE QUADRANT AND
210 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT WITHIN
270 NM NE...150 NM SE...180 NM SW...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 26N BETWEEN 112W AND 125W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 19.7N 123.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND
70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM
13.5N TO 27N BETWEEN 117W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO
11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 21.1N 129.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM SE AND
WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 27N BETWEEN 124W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 23.7N
134.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 27.5N
138.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 31.0N
141.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.9N 136.6W 994 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL
19 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...150
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM SE AND 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 27.5N W OF
131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 20.0N 140.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM SE AND WITHIN 420
NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST
WATERS N OF 12N W OF 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.4N 145.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER TO SHIFT W OF 140W. OVER
FORECAST WATERS FROM 17.5N TO 25N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.2N 149.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.9N 152.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 21.6N 153.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO 13N95.5W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
ELSEWHERE N OF 11.5N BETWEEN 94W AND 97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO
13.5N96.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 11.5N BETWEEN 90W AND
99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE SWELL AND E
WIND WAVES.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13.5N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 95W AND
97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.  

.S OF LINE FROM 02S120W TO 01.5N113W TO 09N111W TO 06N101W TO
02.5S90W TO 03.4S84W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT
IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 04.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 103W AND 112W...AND
S OF 10N BETWEEN 82W AND 103W...EXCEPT NE OF GALAPAGOS
ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 04S BETWEEN 82W AND 87W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL. FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 91.5W
AND 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW PRES 1011 MB NEAR 10.5N114W. WITHIN
150 NE AND 270 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2030 UTC TUE JUL 19...

.TROPICAL STORM DARBY...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM NW
SEMICIRCLE.

.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN
150 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N76W TO 06.5N79W TO 10N103W TO
13N115W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED
WITHIN 90 NM N AND 180 NM S OF TROUGH E OF 84W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 270 NM N AND 240 NM S
OF TROUGH BETWEEN 89W AND 101W...AND WITHIN 240 NM S OF TROUGH
BETWEEN 101W AND 115W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.