000
FZPN03 KNHC 150902
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI JUL 15 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 16.1N 120.0W 982 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 15
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SE AND 70 NM SW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE...150 NM SE...120 NM SW AND 240 NM NW
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS AND
WITHIN 150 NM NE AND SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. REMAINDER WATERS
WITHIN 330 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 17.2N 123.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM N AND WITHIN 80 NM S SEMICIRCLES. WINDS 20 TO 33
KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER
WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. REMAINDER WATERS WITHIN 420 NM OF CENTER
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 17.9N 127.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N AND WITHIN 70 NM S SEMICIRCLES. WINDS 20 TO 33
KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER
WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. REMAINDER WATERS WITHIN 480 NM OF CENTER
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 18.5N 131.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.0N 135.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.0N 140.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 22.0N 140.2W 1002 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL
15 MOVING W NW OR 285 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...130 NM NE AND 110 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE AND 150 NM NW 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS TO 12 FT
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER. REMAINDER WATERS N OF 17N W OF
135W WINDS 20 OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 22.3N
144.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT NEAR CENTER.
OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 22N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 23.0N
148.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT NEAR CENTER. 
ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS W OF AREA.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA WELL W OF AREA 
NEAR 23.8N 153.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 24.6N
157.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 25.6N
162.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING....
.LOW PRES NEAR 14N106W 1008 MB. WITHIN 180 NM E AND WITHIN 60 NM
W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...14N109W
1005 MB. WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM E AND 180 NM W
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
16N113W 1003 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT SE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 13 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER WATERS WITHIN 330 NM E AND
WITHIN 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
 
.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 124W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 121W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC FRI JUL 15...

HURRICANE DARBY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM E AND WITHIN 75 NM
W SEMICIRCLES.

TROPICAL STORM CELIA...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WELL
NE OF CENTER WITHIN 45 NM OF 23N139W.

.LOW PRES 13.7N105.5W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG NOTED SW OF 
CENTER WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 12.5N105.5W TO 13.5N107W...AND
NE OF LINE FROM 14N104W TO 16N108W. 
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 09N96W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG N OF 03N E OF 79W...WITHIN 60 NM OF 09.5N85W AND 13N90W...
AND WITHIN 120 NM OF 12N132.5W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN
60 NM OF LINE FROM 04N85W TO 09N97W...WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM
09N105W TO 12N114W TO 08N125W.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.