000
FZPN03 KNHC 142120
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU JUL 14 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 
HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 15.9N 118.1W 985 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 14 MOVING 
W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM 
S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...150
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 16.8N 121.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 33
KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 
37 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 420 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 17.5N 125.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240
NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 23N BETWEEN
120W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 17.8N 129.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 18.2N 134.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 18.5N 138.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 21.4N 138.0W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL
14 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 130 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...180
NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM S SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 26N W OF
130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CELIA W OF AREA NEAR 22.1N
142.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT
AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS
FROM 22N TO 25N W OF 138W. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER FROM 21N TO 27N W OF 137W. ELSEWHERE FROM 21N TO 29N W
OF 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 22.8N
147.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 23.5N
151.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 24.2N
156.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 25.2N
161.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES 1009 MB NEAR 13N104W. WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...1007 MB
NEAR 15N107W. WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...1005 MB
NEAR 16N110W. WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC THU JUL 14...

HURRICANE DARBY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM N AND 120 NM S
SEMICIRCLES.

TROPICAL STORM CELIA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM NE
QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 09N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 
210 NM SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH EAST OF 95W.

$$
.FORECASTER COBB. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.