000
FZPN03 KNHC 082216
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI JUL 08 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 10.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 18.5N 130.5W 980 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 08
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE...210 NM SE QUADRANT AND
240 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA
FROM 12N TO 28N BETWEEN 124W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 19.7N 131.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
270 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 12N TO 28N W OF 126W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 21.0N 132.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 180 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM OF
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM
14N TO 28N W OF 127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 22.0N
136.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 180 NW AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 16
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA N OF 19N W OF 131W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 21.5N
140.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 20.5N
144.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...REMNANT LOW DISSIPATED.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 13.0N 113.2W 1003 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL
08 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 15 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 13.7N 116.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND 45 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS
TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM SE
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM
08N TO 17N BETWEEN 111W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 14.2N 121.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM SE
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 15.0N 126.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 16.5N 130.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 18.5N 134.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2145 UTC FRI JUL 08...

.HURRICANE BLAS...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
90 NM OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL STORM CELIA...SCATTERED STRONG IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM
OF LINE FROM 15N115W TO 16N112W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF
LINE FROM 16N112W TO 13N107W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY FROM 10N TO 14N
BETWEEN 110W AND 115W.  

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W N OF 09N...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG WITHIN 180 NM E OF WAVE.

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF 12N124W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N84W TO 09N95W TO 11N102W TO
10N106W. IT RESUMES FROM 12N132W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 240 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 104W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W AND
89W...BETWEEN 92W AND 97W AND FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 113W AND 
122W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.