000
FZPN03 KNHC 050949
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1030 UTC TUE JUL 05 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 07.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 14.2N 118.1W 978 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 05
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE
QUADRANT...130 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM OF THE CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 15.0N 122.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240
NM OF THE CENTER WITH SEAS TO 41 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM OF
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 16.0N 126.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360
NM NW AND 270 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 420 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 17.2N 129.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 19.1N 133.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL BLAS NEAR 20.7N 136.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.POST TROPICAL CYCLONE AGATHA NEAR 19.5N 130.9W 1008 MB AT 0900
UTC JUL 05 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. WITHIN 120 NM NE
SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW AGATHA NEAR 20.0N
133.4W. WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW AGATHA NEAR 21.0N
138.0W. WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC TUE JUL 05...

.HURRICANE BLAS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER.
ELSEWHERE MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 115W AND
120W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 07N85W. ITCZ FROM 07N85W TO
08N100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S
OF MONSOON TROUGH E OF 80W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.