000 FZPN03 KNHC 181557 AAA HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC WED NOV 18 2015 UPDATE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED NOV 18. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU NOV 19. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI NOV 20. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 13.0N 107.2W 1005 MB AT 1600 UTC NOV 18 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 420 NM SE AND 270 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. WITHIN 210 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 13.8N 107.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE QUADRANT...20 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM NW SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 15.8N 110.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATERWITHIN60NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 16.4N 113.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 18.1N 114.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 20.5N 114.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .FROM 15N TO 26.5N W OF 125W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. FROM 11N TO 20N BETWEEN 116W AND 125W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. N OF 26.5N BETWEEN 120W AND 132W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE FROM 02.5N140W TO 07N115W TO 07N99W TO 14N106W TO 20N106W TO 23N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 10N W OF 120W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. FROM 08N TO 25N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY LINE FROM 30N130W TO 30N118W TO 12N125W TO 09N140W TO 23N140W TO 30N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 23N TO 29N NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 24N BETWEEN 107.5W AND111.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 25N NW TO N WINDS 20TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N96.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 1515 UTC WED NOV 18... .TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 13.0N107.2W...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S QUADRANT. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM LOW PRES 1006 MB IN SW CARIBBEAN NEAR 11.5N81.5W TO 09N90W TO LOW PRES 1005 MB NEAR 13.5N107.5W TO 11N117W TO LOW PRES 1007 MB NEAR 11.5N126W TO 08N130W...WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING ON TO 07.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED WITHIN 330 NM S OF THE TROUGH E OF 106W...AND WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH BETWEEN 114W AND 130W. $$ .FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.