000 FZPN03 KNHC 222140 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 22. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 23. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 24. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE PATRICIA NEAR 15.4N 104.6W 953 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 22 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT... 120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM W OF CENTER EXCEPT 300 NM NE AND 360 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 104W AND 115W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 06N TO 18.5N BETWEEN 97W AND 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PATRICIA NEAR 18.1N 105.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE...400 NM SE...360 NM SW AND 270 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 52 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...360 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 105W AND 118W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 05N TO 23N BETWEEN 99W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA INLAND NEAR 23.3N 102.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 104W AND 110W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. FROM 15N TO 18.5N BETWEEN 101W AND 107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 24.5N NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 28.5N BETWEEN 97W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .FROM 12N TO 25N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW TO W SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST W OF LINE FROM 30N124W TO 26N135W TO 14N137W TO 10N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 27N W OF 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. .S OF 02S BETWEEN 113W AND 127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01.5S BETWEEN 102W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL. .42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .FROM 05.5N TO 09.5N BETWEEN 121W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW AND W SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 06.5N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 113W AND 125W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC THU OCT 22... .HURRICANE PATRICIA...NUMEROUS STRONG IN CONTINUOUS EYEWALL WITHIN 60 NM OF EYE. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG IN BANDS AND CLUSTERS WITHIN 180 NM NE...270 NM SE...360 NM SW...AND 300 NW QUADRANTS. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... DISCONTINUOUS MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM SW CARIBBEAN NEAR 11N77W TO 09.5N84W TO 11N96W...WHERE IT REMAINS FRACTURED FROM PATRICIA...THEN RESUMES FROM 12.5N108W TO 10N124W TO 09N135W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 270 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 80W AND 96W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM N AND 300 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 110W AND 136W. .FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.