000
FZPN03 KNHC 130909
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC SAT JUN 13 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUN 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUN 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUN 15.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 14.8N 100.2W 995 MB AT 0900 UTC JUN 
13 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE 
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA 
WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 15.5N 101.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...50 NM NW QUADRANT AND 
90 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM NE...120 
NM SE...120 NM NW...AND 75 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM S AND 120 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 
12N TO 21N BETWEEN 98W AND 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 16.5N 103.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM S 
AND 100 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 13N TO 22N BETWEEN 101W 
AND 111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 17.8N 105.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 20.0N 106.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 21.5N 107.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. 

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 01S BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 04N BETWEEN 122W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 128W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NW AND N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SAT JUN 13...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 12N TO 
16N BETWEEN 97W AND 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 07N 
TO 15N BETWEEN 92W AND 102W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
ITCZ FROM 11N104W TO 06N120W TO 08N125W TO 05N140W. NO 
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.