000
FZPN03 KNHC 120902
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC FRI JUN 12 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUN 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUN 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUN 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 14.7N 100.8W 997 MB AT 0900 UTC JUN 
12 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE 
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 15.1N 101.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...70 NM NW QUADRANT AND 
100 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT AND 240 NM 
SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA 
WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 300 NM SE QUADRANT SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 15.3N 101.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 
120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM 
OF CENTER...EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 180 
NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 15.6N 101.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 
150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM 
OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 11N TO 19N 
BETWEEN 96W AND 109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 16.6N 103.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 18.2N 106.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 20.4N 107.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 01S W OF 107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE 
AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 03.4S110W TO 00N115W TO 
01N126W TO 00N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SE AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 03.4S114W TO 02N118W TO 
01N130W TO 00N135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SE AND NW SWELL.

.30 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 129W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W AND 139W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC FRI JUN 12...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 75 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 99W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 10N E OF 90W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N107W TO 06N117W. ITCZ FROM 06N117W TO 
08N128W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 04N TO 06N BETWEEN 
106W AND 110W...AND FROM 05N TO 07N BETWEEN 129W AND 131W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.