000
FZPN03 KNHC 281527
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC SUN SEP 28 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 28. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 29. 
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 30.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 21.5N 117.2W 984 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 28 
MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT 
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 17N 
TO 27N BETWEEN 113W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 22.4N 117.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 120 SE SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N 
TO 27N BETWEEN 113W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 22.1N 117.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 20 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS AND 30 NM NE QUADRANT.  
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES 
WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 90 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 15N TO 27N BETWEEN 114W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RACHEL NEAR 21.3N 
118.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RACHEL NEAR 21.0N 
120.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RACHEL NEAR 20.5N 
122.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 15 KT GUSTS 20 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.ELSEWHERE S OF 25N E OF 125W TO A LINE FROM 30N117W TO 18N112W 
TO 15N130W TO 12N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 21N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS 
SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 17N W OF 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.

.S OF 10N W OF 120W AND S OF 02N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 04N BETWEEN 110W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 03.4S100W TO 05N120W TO 
06N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC SUN SEP 28...

.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM OF CENTER.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 15N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO 
BETWEEN 101W AND 106W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 12N95W TO 10N104W TO 
09N110W THEN CONTINUES SW OF HURRICANE RACHEL FROM 14N120W TO 
12N130W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 12N130W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 92W 
AND 95W...AND WITHIN 150 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 95W AND 100W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 106W AND 109W...AND 
WITHIN 30 NM OF 07N135W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.