000
FZPN03 KNHC 250913
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC THU SEP 25 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 25.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 26.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 27.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 16.0N 108.6W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 
25 MOVING W NW OR 295 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N AND WITHIN 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 17.8N 112.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW...50 NM SE AND 60 NM NE QUADRANTS.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM N AND WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES
WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER WATERS WITHIN 240 NM NE 
AND WITHIN 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 19.5N 114.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE...70 NM NE AND 40 NM SW QUADRANTS. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 17 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 
TO 15 FT. REMAINDER WATERS WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 21.0N 115.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 22.0N 115.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION RACHEL NEAR 23.5N 115.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N128W TO 24N140W. NW OF LINE FROM 30N126W 
TO 25N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN
MIXED NW AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONTAL TROUGH FROM 30N119W TO 23N140W.
NW OF LINE FROM 30N116W TO 16N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NW AND SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED. NW OF LINE FROM 29N115W
TO 20N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN 
MIXED NW AND SE SWELL.

.S OF LINE FROM 02S120W TO 01N106W TO 03.4S82W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NW AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 00N122W TO 08N112W TO 03.4S102W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NW AND SE
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 10N114W TO 02N125W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NW AND 
SE SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC THU SEP 25...

.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 270 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLE. 
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 09N84W TO LOW PRES 10N89W 
1009 MB TO 17N100W...RESUMES FROM 16N115W TO 10N120W. ITCZ FROM 
10N120W TO 08N125W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO 
FROM 86W TO 105W...N OF 02N E OF 79W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 
FROM 08N88W TO 11N98W TO 08N111W. 

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.