000
FZPN03 KNHC 250255
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC THU SEP 25 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 25.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 26.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 27.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 15.3N 107.4W 1004 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 
25 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE  
WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
WITHIN 90 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 16.9N 110.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS AND 60 NM NE QUADRANT.  
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 18.6N 113.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 19.7N 115.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 20.5N 116.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION RACHEL NEAR 21.5N 116.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N131W TO 25N140W. NW OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 30N122W TO 25N130W 
TO 22N140W. NW OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE FROM 30N116W TO 22N130W TO 
22N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. NW OF LINE FROM 30N116W TO 
20N120W TO 18N130W TO 14N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN NW SWELL.

.S OF 00N W OF 90W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY 
IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 03.4S90W TO 00N105W TO  
08N110W TO 00N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY 
IN SE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 3.4S105W TO 10N110W TO 00N126W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SE SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0215 UTC THU SEP 25...

.T.S. RACHEL NEAR 15N107W...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 
200 NM SW SEMICIRCLE.  

.CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION N OF 12N BETWEEN 87W 
AND 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N87W 1009 
MB TO 13N100W THEN CONTINUES SW OF T.S. RACHEL FROM 11N108W TO 
08N120W...WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING ON TO 
05N130W TO BEYOND 07N140W. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 
07N TO 11N BETWEEN 86W AND 90W...AND FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 92W 
AND 95W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 05N TO 07N W OF 132W. 

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.