000
FZPN03 KNHC 241539
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 26.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 16.0N 111.4W 929 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 24 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT 
GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...220 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE...420 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 360 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 
22N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 06N 22N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 17.6N 114.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT GUSTS 165 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 270 NM E SEMICIRCLE...190 NM SW QUADRANT AND 160 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 480 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 
360 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 
25N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 08N TO 26N BETWEEN 105W AND 125W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 20.3N 117.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 200 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 660 NM SE AND 360 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 25N 
BETWEEN 110W 125W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT REMAINDER 
OF AREA N OF 25N E OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 22.5N 122.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 25.5N 127.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL MARIE NEAR 28.5N 131.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.0N 131.4W 993 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 
24 MOVING ENE OR 070 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 23N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.0N 128.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 135 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 22N BETWEEN 123W AND 131W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 17.5N 127.3W. 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N TO 24N BETWEEN 125W AND 130W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 16.9N 
124.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.POST TROPICAL CYCLONE LOWELL NEAR 25.5N 128.5W 1002 MB AT 1500 
UTC AUG 24 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 7 KT. WITHIN 60 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 165 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
N OF 23N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 27N131W 
1004 MB. N OF 27N BETWEEN 128W AND 135W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 21N W OF 127W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 28N135W 
1006 MB. N OF 28N W OF 135W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 23N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...S OF 08N BETWEEN 105W AND 125W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC SUN AUG 24...

.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 
110W AND 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 115W 
AND 130W. 

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...          
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 08N95W TO 11N102W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS E OF 90W. 

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.