000
FZPN03 KNHC 230250
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC SAT AUG 23 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 25.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 
.HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 16.2N 134.9W 988 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 23 
MOVING NE OR 045 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT 
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 240 NM SE QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.6N 132.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.7N 129.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS 21 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM 150 S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 20.0N 128.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.               
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 20.7N 
130.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 21.0N 
132.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 13.7N 104.8W 995 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 
23 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE 
QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...60 
NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM SE AND 180 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 14.2N 106.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE 420 NM E AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 14.9N 108.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 27 
FT. ELSEWHERE 420 NM E AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 16.3N 111.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
420 NM SE AND 360 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM SE AND 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 18.4N 115.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT.                     
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 20.8N 119.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 23.2N 123.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... 
.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 22.9N 125.3W 997 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 
23 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 140 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
360 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 24.6N 127.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM E AND 360 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 390 NM NW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 25.9N 
129.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS 
TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 SE AND 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 27.0N 
132.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.          
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 29.0N 
137.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 31.0N 
141.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 27N BETWEEN 130W AND 138W NE WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 08N W OF 115W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. 
REMAINDER OF AREA S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 09N W OF 120W AND 
FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 100W AND 113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 10N BETWEEN 
100W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING SW 
AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 10N W OF 124W AND 
FROM 10N TO 23N BETWEEN 100W AND 119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 
124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW 
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0215 UTC SAT AUG 23...

.HURRICANE KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 45 NM E 
AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES.

.TROPICAL STORM MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM 
OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
330 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND W QUADRANT...AND 240 NM N QUADRANT.

.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
BETWEEN 60 NM AND 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE 
BETWEEN 150 NM AND 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N77W TO 10N97W. NO ITCZ AXIS 
E OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF 
AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 95W...AND WITHIN 120 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 
10N106W TO 06N120W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM SW OF A LINE 
FROM 14N124W TO 17N130W.
 
$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.