000
FZPN03 KNHC 172136
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC SUN AUG 17 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 19.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.7N 129.5W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
17 MOVING WSW OR 255 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 
NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 135 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.7N 132.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 135 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.3N 134.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.4N 135.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.7N 135.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.1N 134.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 16N115W 1007 MB. FROM 17N TO 19N BETWEEN 110W AND 
120W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 
15N BETWEEN 113W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
17N118W 1005 MB. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 20N122W TO 20N110W TO 
15N110W TO 10N125W TO 20N122W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
19N120W 1004 MB. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 22N123W TO 22N112W TO 
10N115W TO 22N123W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2115 UTC SUN AUG 17...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 
120 NM W QUADRANT OF CENTER. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 16N115W 1007 MB...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE AND FROM 17N TO 19N BETWEEN 
110W AND 117W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH 09N84W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N115W 1007 MB TO 
17N122W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 14N130W TO 15N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 105W. 
  
$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.