000
FZPN03 KNHC 150936
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC FRI AUG 15 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 17.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.2N 119.1W 990 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 
15 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E AND 50 NM 
W SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM N AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 
120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.1N 122.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 70 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.4N 127.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.0N 131.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.5N 134.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.0N 136.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 13N140W 1009 MB STATIONARY. OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N141W 1007 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N142W 1005 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE 
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 112W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 116W AND 127W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 121W AND 126W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC FRI AUG 15...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 
WITHIN 75 NM W OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE N OF 10N ALONG 94W...SCATTERED MODERATE ALONG THE 
COAST OF MEXICO AND THE EASTERN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 110W AND 
115W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
DISCONTINUOUS MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N86W TO 10N103W...CONTINUES 
FROM 14N122W TO 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 103W...AND FROM 09N TO 
14N BETWEEN 128W AND 133W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.