000
FZPN03 KNHC 070914
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC THU AUG 07 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 16.8N 134.9W 976 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 07 
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT AND 240 NM NW 
QUADRANT OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 FT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA FROM 11N TO 23N BETWEEN 128W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 17.7N 140.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N 
TO 25N W OF 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 19.0N 146.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. OVER 
FORECAST WATERS FROM 17N TO 23N W OF 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 21.0N 151.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 23.5N 156.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 25.0N 161.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC THU AUG 07...

.HURRICANE JULIO...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM 
OF CENTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 18N 
BETWEEN 130W AND 138W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 06N85W TO 07N92W. THE 
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS IS FROM 07N92W TO 08N99W TO 
11N108W TO 09N114W TO 09N120W TO 07N127W TO 10N130W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 02N TO 08N E OF 80W...FROM 03N TO 07N BETWEEN 84W 
AND 96W...AND FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 101W AND 105W. ISOLATED 
MODERATE IS FROM 04N TO 09N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W.

$$
.FORECASTER HUFFMAN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.