000
FZPN03 KNHC 060931
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC WED AUG 06 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 06.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 07.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 08.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ISELLE NEAR 16.9N 142.8W 974 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 06 
MOVING W-NW OR 285 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 135 NM NE 
QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 125 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 250 NM NE QUADRANT...195 
NM SE QUADRANT...165 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT. 
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 16N TO 20N W OF 139W WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA W OF A LINE 
FROM 12N140W TO 19N136W TO 23N138W TO 24N140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ISELLE NEAR 18.3N 148.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...90 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS AND SEAS WEST OF AREA.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ISELLE NEAR 19.5N 154.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 85 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...55 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS AND SEAS WEST OF AREA.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ISELLE NEAR 20.7N 160.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ISELLE NEAR 21.5N 165.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ISELLE NEAR 22.0N 169.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
 
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 14.8N 129.0W 989 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 06 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N 
AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 FT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 20N BETWEEN 123W AND 131W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 16.1N 134.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM N QUADRANT AND 240 NM W 
QUADRANT OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA FROM 11N TO 23N BETWEEN 127W AND 139W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 17.3N 140.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS 
TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM N 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF THE 
AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 11N TO 25N W OF 133W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 18.5N 145.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 20.4N 151.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 23.0N 156.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03S BETWEEN 112W AND 116W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC WED AUG 06...

.HURRICANE ISELLE...SCATTERED MODERATE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 
16N TO 20N W OF 139W.

.HURRICANE JULIO...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM OF CENTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 
16N BETWEEN 124W AND 129W.  

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 07N78W TO 07N87W TO 1009 MB LOW PRES 
NEAR 13N103W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS 
FROM 1009 MB LOW PRES NEAR 13N103W TO 08N110W TO 10N120W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 02N TO 08N BETWEEN 78W AND 80W...FROM 
05N TO 09N BETWEEN 99W AND 102W...AND FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 
100W AND 103W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 114W 
AND 119W.
 
$$
.FORECASTER HUFFMAN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.