000
FZPN03 KNHC 021518
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC SAT AUG 02 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 04.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ISELLE NEAR 15.0N 129.2W 987 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 02 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 
85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 
NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 21N BETWEEN 
110W AND 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ISELLE NEAR 15.6N 132.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 150 
NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 22N W OF 
125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ISELLE NEAR 16.0N 135.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 22N W OF 
130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ISELLE NEAR 16.0N 139.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ISELLE NEAR 16.0N 143.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ISELLE NEAR 16.5N 148.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.FROM 12N TO 18N W OF 134W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 13N113W 1008 MB. WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N116W 1007 MB. WITHIN 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N120W 1006 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 

.S OF 02S W OF 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 03.4S93W TO 02N105W TO 
02N112W TO 00N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE 
AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 06N BETWEEN 90W AND 110W...EXCEPT IN THE 
LEE OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. W OF 110W TO A LINE FROM 04N110W TO 
00N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC SAT AUG 02...

.NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG N OF 05N E OF 83W.

.HURRICANE ISELLE...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT. NUMEROUS MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 
16N BETWEEN 127W AND 131W. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 13N113W...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE. CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 111W AND 113W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 07N95W TO 1008 MB LOW PRES 
NEAR 13N113W TO 10N120W...THEN RESUMES SW OF HURRICANE ISELLE 
FROM 13N131W TO 12N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 04N TO 
08N BETWEEN 79W AND 82W...AND FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 82W AND 
85W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 88W 
AND 100W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 103W AND 
106W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.