000
FZPN03 KNHC 202127
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN OCT 20 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 22.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND NEAR 15.6N 101.8W 994 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 
20 MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 
NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 98W AND 103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 15.9N 101.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 99W AND 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY 
IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.3N 101.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 17N 
BETWEEN 99W AND 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.8N 101.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 99W AND 105W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.5N 102.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.0N 104.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 15.5N 107.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF LINE FROM 30N136W TO 22N140W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.   
.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 16N W OF 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 18N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 2045 UTC SUN OCT 20...

TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 
70 NM OF CENTER. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 16N TO 
18N BETWEEN 100W AND 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 18N BETWEEN 100W AND 104W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
         
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 13N96W THEN CONTINUES W OF 
RAYMOND FROM 13N107W TO 09N120W TO 07N128W. ITCZ IS FROM 07N128W 
TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 07N BETWEEN 83W AND 
89W. 

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.