000
FZPN03 KNHC 130253
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SUN OCT 13 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 15.

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E AT 16.1N 110.2W 1005 MB AT 0300
UTC OCT 13 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 10 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.  ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 12N
BETWEEN 110W AND 120W  SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 17.4N 111.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WIND WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE FROM
09N TO 12N BETWEEN 107W AND 116W  SW WINDS 20 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT
IN SW SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 19.4N 112.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WIND WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.  ELSEWHERE
FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 108W AND 118W  SW WINDS 20 KT.
SEAS TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 22.4N
113.2W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 19N TO 24N BETWEEN 11W AND 118W  SW WINDS 20 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 24.5N
112.5W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FIFTEEN-E NEAR 25.5N
112.0W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FIFTEEN-E NEAR
26.0N 111.0W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES AT 14N135W 1011 MB.  WITHIN 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE  WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.  ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 23N W OF 130W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 8 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES NEAR 13N138W 1012 MB.  FROM 14N TO 
18N W OF 136W  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. 
.42 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES DISSIPATED.  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.30 HOUR FORECAST  WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95W...
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95W...
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC SUN OCT 13...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED 
STRONG WITHIN 150 NM NW QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 15N101W THEN RESUMES FROM 
LOW PRES 1006 MB AT 13N117W TO 12N127W TO 13N131W...THEN RESUMES
FROM LOW PRES 1011 MB AT 14N135W TO BEYOND 09N140W.  SCATTERED
MODERATE S OF AXIS TO 06N.  NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM N OF AXIS FROM 98W TO 103W AND FROM 117W TO 122W. 

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES.  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.