000
FZPN03 KNHC 081525
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE OCT 08 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 10.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 15.6N 126.4W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 
08 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA NEAR 16.3N 128.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 
60 NM N SEMICIRCLE. WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA NEAR 16.4N 130.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT. 
WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 75 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW NARDA NEAR 16.3N 
131.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW NARDA NEAR 16.0N 
133.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW NARDA NEAR 15.5N 
135.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95.5W TO 14N96.5W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 97.5W AND 101W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN PRIMARILY NE SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 08.5N TO 11N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT 
IN NE SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MOVE W OF AREA.

.NW OF LINE FROM 30N133W TO 28.5N140W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE FROM 30N121W TO 24N140W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF LINE FROM 30N117W TO 
25.5N119W TO 24N127W TO 30N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL. 

.36 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N SW WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1430 UTC TUE OCT 08...

.TROPICAL STORM NARDA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM SW  
QUADRANT.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 15N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO 
FROM 101W TO 105W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 10N74W TO 10N95W TO 
12N107W TO 15N119W...WHERE IT HAS FRACTURED FROM NARDA...THEN 
RESUME FROM SW OF NARDA NEAR 11N128W TO 10N132W...WHERE IT 
TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING ON TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF 
TROUGH BETWEEN 93W AND 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 240 NM SW OF TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 110W 
AND 117W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 
60 NM N AND 90 NM S OF AXIS W OF 132W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.