000
FZPN03 KNHC 070251
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON OCT 07 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 13.2N 119.8W 1005 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 
07 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 14.0N 123.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 
NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N 
AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NARDA NEAR 15.5N 126.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 70 NM N AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 N AND 90 NM 
S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NARDA NEAR 16.1N 127.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 16.4N 128.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL NARDA NEAR 16.7N 129.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 26N NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 127W AND 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 132W AND 138W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NW AND N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MOVE W OF AREA.

.12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 
13.5N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 16N95W TO 15N95W TO  
14.5N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC MON OCT 07...

T.S. NARDA NEAR 13.2N 119.8W 1005 MB...NUMEROUS MODERATE 
SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 124W AND 130W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 13N103W TO 13N112W. ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 11N132W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 600 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 93W AND 98W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM N AND 30 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 102W AND 
105W. 


$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.