000
FZPN03 KNHC 190950
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1030 UTC THU SEP 19 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MANUEL NEAR 24.8N 108.2W 987 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 19
MOVING N OR 355 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
50 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH HIGHEST SEAS TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL INLAND NEAR 25.3N 
108.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL INLAND NEAR 25.5N
108.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM OF CENTER. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 30 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL INLAND NEAR 25.7N 
108.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL NEAR 25.7N 108.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

,SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.N OF 25N BETWEEN 118W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN NW SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC THU SEP 19...

.TROPICAL STORM MANUEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 45 
NM OF CENTER.  

.SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 11N BETWEEN 95W AND 100W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W THEN INLAND ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA TO 
NW GUATEMALA. IT RESUMES FROM 17N112W TO 09N1352...THEN AS ITCZ 
TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA N OF 11N 

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.