000
FZPN03 KNHC 172130
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2230 UTC TUE SEP 17 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 19.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL NEAR 22.6N 107.4W 1004 MB AT 2100 
UTC SEP 17 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 23.5N 108.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 20 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90 
NM E AND 45 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 24.5N 110.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 75 NM NE AND 30 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL INLAND NEAR 24.5N 
111.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MANUEL NEAR 24.0N 
111.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 119W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 119W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER IN S SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 15N106W TO 09N119W TO 11N126W TO 08N135W. 
ITCZ FROM 08N135W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 10N 
E OF 90W. 

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.