000 FZPN03 KNHC 150303 HSFEP2 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC SUN SEP 15 2013 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 15. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 16. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 17. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 17.2N 102.3W 985 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 15 MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...330 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NW AND 480 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT...HIGHEST SE. FROM 08.5N TO 12N BETWEEN 107W AND 113W SW TO W WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 106W AND 118W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 92W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MANUEL NEAR 18.1N 102.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM SE AND 120 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL INLAND NEAR 19.4N 103.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 330 NM SE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 270 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 112W SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 104W AND 114W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. REMAINDER OR AREA FROM 06.5N TO 17N BETWEEN 93W AND 116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MANUEL NEAR 20.6N 104.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 100W AND 107W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 107W AND 112W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 93W AND 113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST...LOW DISSIPATED. FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 95W AND 103W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL. FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 103W AND 110W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N TO 20N BETWEEN 94W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 0215 UTC SUN SEP 15... .TROPICAL STORM MANUEL...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM...AND SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 240 SW QUADRANT. .LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N115W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES. .SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 17.5N101.5W TO 13N105W TO 10N111W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 07N74W AND MEANDERS THROUGH 15N87W...AND HAS FRACTURED FROM HURRICANE INGRID IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE TROUGH RESUMES TO THE SW OF T.S. MANUEL NEAR 14N105W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N114.5W 1003 MB TO 10N137W... WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING BEYOND 10N140W. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. $$ .FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.