000
FZPN03 KNHC 140400
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT SEP 14 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 16.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 15.3N 102.5W 996 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
14 MOVING SW OR 225 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 0 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 
NM S SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
11 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 95W AND 102W SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT IN SW SWELL. REMAINDER OF 
AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE 17N105W TO 15N93W TO 07N110W TO 17N105W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 17.0N 102.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 
120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 17N101W TO 14N93W TO 09N100W TO 09N118W 
TO 17N101W SW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT...HIGHEST FROM 
12N TO 15N BETWEEN 97W AND 103W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL INLAND NEAR 19.1N 
103.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER WATER 
WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY LINE FROM 12N109W TO 15N100W TO 14N99W TO 
10N109W TO 12N109W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 17N105W TO 17N100W TO 
15N95W TO 08N115W TO 17N105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN SW SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0215 UTC SAT SEP 14...

.TROPICAL STORM MANUEL...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 120 NM OF MANUEL...EXCEPT 45 NM NW QUADRANT.
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 07N75W TO 13N84W TO 
18N90W WHERE IT FRACTURES...THEN RESUMES ACROSS THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC CONTINUING TO TROPICAL STORM MANUEL TO 16N108W TO 
12N120W TO 10N133W TO 09.5N138W... WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO 
ITCZ...CONTINUING ON BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG CONVECTION WAS OCCURRING WITHIN 90 NM N AND 120 NM S OF 
THE TROUGH BETWEEN 8W AND 90W. BEYOND TROPICAL STORM 
MANUEL...SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION WAS OCCURRING FROM 12.5N TO 19.5N BETWEEN 92W AND 
112W...WITH SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 12N 
BETWEEN 104W AND 114W.
 
$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING/CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.