000
FZPN03 KNHC 080312
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON JUL 08 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 10.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 20.8N 108.7W 996 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL
08 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...75 NM NW QUADRANT
AND 100 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM S AND 120 NM N SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN
103W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 22.3N 111.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND
0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE AND
60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ERICK NEAR 24.2N
115.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ERICK NEAR 25.0N
117.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DALILA NEAR 16N113W 1006 MB DRIFTING 
SE. WITHIN 60 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW WEAKENING NEAR 16N112W.
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05 BETWEEN 92W AND 120W AND S OF 02N
BETWEEN 82W AND 88W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN
S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N E OF 112W...EXCEPT S OF 06N BETWEEN 
87W AND 93W...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. 
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0200 UTC MON JUL 08...

.TROPICAL STORM ERICK...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN
45 NM OF CENTER IN N SEMICIRCLE.

NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 113W AND 114W AROUND
POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DALILA.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 08N85W...TO 1008 MB LOW PRES
07N93W...TO 08N98W AND 10N101W...THEN RESUMES FROM 12N108W
TO 12N114W TO 09N122W TO 10N127W TO 08N132W TO 07N140W.
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 08N TO 09N BETWEEN 132W AND 134W.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 12N96W...
AND FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 115W AND 119W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 04N TO 06N BETWEEN 88W AND
90W...AND FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 106W AND 112W. 

$$
.FORECASTER MT. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.