000
FZPN03 KNHC 052140
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2230 UTC FRI JUL 05 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 07.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 16.2N 102.7W 993 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 
05 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 15 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERICK NEAR 17.9N 105.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND AND
WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FEET. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 20.4N 108.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 22.5N 112.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ERICK NEAR 23.0N 
116.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ERICK NEAR 23.0N 
121.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
 
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION DALILA NEAR 17.1N 112.4W 1006 MB AT 2100 
UTC JUL 05 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DALILA NEAR 17.0N
113.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. SEAS TO
11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NW AND 30 NM SE SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DALILA NEAR 16.9N 
114.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 95W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W AND
109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 122W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 122W AND 132W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 21N TO 25N BETWEEN 122W AND 135W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 2045 UTC FRI JUL 05...

.TROPICAL STORM ERICK...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN
101W AND 104W...FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 99W AND 101W...WITHIN
60 NM TO 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 14N102W 12N106W 11N109W...AND
FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 96W AND 98W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 10N89W TO 14N94W TO 16N98W THEN
RESUMES FROM 12N113W TO 09N119W TO 10N129W TO 10N135W. ITCZ AXIS
FROM 10N135W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN
110W AND 113W...AND FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 120W AND 122W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 124W AND 128W.

$$
.FORECASTER MT. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.