000
FZPN03 KNHC 301535
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE OCT 30 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

UPDATED TO INCLUDE T.D. SEVENTEEN-E

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 30.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 31.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU NOV 01.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ROSA NEAR 14.5N 116.5W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT
30 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER 60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ROSA NEAR 15.1N 118.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ROSA NEAR 15.4N 120.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSA NEAR 15.0N
121.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSA NEAR 13.5N
123.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 120 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 120 NM N 
AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 15N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N137W TO 28N140W. NW OF FRONT 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N129W TO 26N140W. W OF FRONT 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. 

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N95W TO 14N96W...INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC TUE OCT 30...

.T.S. ROSA NEAR 14.5N 116.5W...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 11N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 113W AND 117W.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N107W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 100 
NM SW SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 08N95W TO LOW PRES AT 14N107W 1010 
MB TO T.S. ROSA AT 14.5N 116.5W TO 10N130W. ITCZ 10N130W TO 
08N14W. FROM 05N TO 08W SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 
05N TO 08N BETWEEN 78W AND 83W.

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.