000
FZPN03 KNHC 140938
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN OCT 14 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PAUL NEAR 14.3N 114.5W 1001 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 
14 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE...0 NM 
SE...40 NM SW AND 80 NM NW QUADRANTS.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 40 NM NE...0 NM SE...20 NM SW AND 75 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH 
SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 16.6N 115.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 135 NM NW AND 210 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 21.1N 114.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE...80 NM SE...60 NM SW AND 90 NM NW QUADRANTS. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 135 NM NW AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAUL NEAR 25.7N 114.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL NEAR 28.0N 116.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PAUL NEAR 28.6N
118.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 330 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES OF T.S. PAUL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 NM NW 
AND 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF PAUL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 109W AND 122W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM NW 
AND 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF PAUL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 108W AND 118W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 110W 
AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.FROM 11N TO 17N W OF 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT 
IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... 
N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N BETWEEN 122W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SUN OCT 14...

.T.S. PAUL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM W AND NW 
OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 
LINE 14N110W TO 10N115W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 10N101W RESUMES SW OF T.S. PAUL 
FROM 12N115W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 85W AND 100W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 126W AND 136W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.