000
FZPN03 KNHC 082112
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON OCT 08 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 10.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA IS STATIONARY NEAR 16.3N 121.2W 1004 MB 
AT 2100 UTC OCT 08. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 
50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE...45 NM SE...75 
NM SW AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS TO 16 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLIVIA NEAR 16.4N 121.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLIVIA NEAR 16.3N 122.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OLIVIA NEAR 15.6N 
124.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OLIVIA NEAR 14.7N 
126.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN OLIVIA WARNING...WITHIN 270 NM N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM NW AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED OLIVIA WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM 
NW AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED OLIVIA WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM 
NW AND 45 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED OLIVIA WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM 
NW AND 30 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 15 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 19N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W TO 15N95W TO 
13.5N96.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W 
TO 15N95W TO 12.5N97.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N 
TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W 
TO 14N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW PRES NEAR 10N88W 1009 MB. WITHIN 180 
NM S SEMICIRCLE SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC MON OCT 08...

.TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 270 NM OVER NE QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE IN SW 
QUADRANT WITHIN 30 NM OF 16N121.5W. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF 17N140W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH 11N86W TO 09N89W TO 11N94W TO 08N109W TO 
08N115W...RESUMES AT 13N121W TO 06N138W. ITCZ 06N138W TO 
06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED N 
OF LINE 03N77W TO 07N88W TO 08N100W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 
09N100W TO 07N117W. 

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.