000
FZPN03 KNHC 142156
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI SEP 14 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 14
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 15
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 16

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 20.6N 113.1W 998 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 
14 MOVING NW OR 300 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT
...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE AND 
45 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 22.3N 115.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT AND 25 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
90 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND
75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 24.5N 
118.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT NEAR CENTER. 
SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 26.0N
119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 27.0N 
119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...240
NM SE QUADRANT....90 NM SW AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT OF KRISTY 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM NE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS...AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT OF 
KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF 
REMNANT LOW KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 15N120W 1007 MB MOVING W SW AT 7 KT. WITHIN 150 
NM NW AND 60 NM SEMICIRCLES OF LOW WINDS S 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N124W 1006 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT. WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N125W 1004 MB. WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.LOW PRES 14N134W 1011 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. WITHIN 180 NM NW AND
150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N134W 1011 MB. LITTLE CHANGE 
IN WINDS AND SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N135W 1011 MB. WITHIN 180 NM 
NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2130 UTC FRI SEP 14...

.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 150 NM N AND S QUADRANTS.

.LOW PRES 15N120W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
180 NM OF LOW IN SW QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 08N91W WHERE IT TRANSITIONS
TO THE ITCZ AND CONTINUES TO 08N99W TO 12N108W. THE MONSOON 
TROUGH RESUMES NEAR 12N120W TO LOW PRES NEAR 14N134W 1011 MB AND 
TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM S OF
MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 120W AND 125W.
 
$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.