000
FZPN03 KNHC 130255
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU SEP 13 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 18.0N 107.4W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 
13 MOVING W NW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT
...70 NM SE QUADRANT....0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 20 NM NW QUADRANT. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 19.2N 110.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM
SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 21.1N 113.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 
NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 23.5N 116.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 25.0N 
120.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 25.5N 
121.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS NEAR TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 60 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES OF KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM NE 
AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM NE 
AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 11N E OF 89W INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 05N BETWEEN 112W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N96W...
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0245 UTC THU SEP 13...

.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER 
IN SE QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 
120 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SW QUADRANT AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 
12N110W.

.SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF 15N115W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N85W TO 08N96W TO 10N108W TO 
15N115W TO 13N123W WHERE LOW LEVEL WINDS SUGGEST THE ITCZ BEGINS 
AND CONTINUES TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM S OF ITCZ W OF 136W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.