000
FZPN03 KNHC 162140
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON JUL 16 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 18.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FABIO AT 19.7N 120.2W 992 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 16 
MOVING N-NW OR 330 DEG AT 8 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 GUSTS 
75 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE... 
70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 22.4N 120.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 25.1N 
120.3W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 
12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 26.8N 
119.4W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  EXTRATROPICAL LOW FABIO NEAR 26.8N 119.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS NEAR TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM N AND 75 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE OF FABIO  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 135 NM 
OF FABIO  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS 10 TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
240 NM OF CENTER  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF 
REMNANT LOW FABIO  WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 11 FT.

.N OF 29N W OF 130W  NE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  ELSEWHERE N OF 26N W OF 120W  WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS.  SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 25N W OF 135W  NE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  
SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC MON JUL 16...

.HURRICANE FABIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 10N88W TO 07N110W TO 09N94W TO 
09N102W TO 07N111W TO 08N116W THEN ITCZ 10N120W.  ITCZ RESUMES 
FROM 10N128W TO BEYOND 06N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS FROM 97W TO 118W.  ISOLATED MODERATE 
WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 127W TO 134W. 

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES.  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.