000
FZPN03 KNHC 160916
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON JUL 16 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 18.3N 119.5W 984 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 16
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...210 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 19.0N 120.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 20.3N 121.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 23.0N
121.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 45 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 25.5N
120.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 26.5N
120.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS NEAR TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF OF CENTER 
WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 180 
NM OF CENTER WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 150 
NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRLCE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 129W AND 135W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N W OF 138W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT. N OF 28N BETWEEN 123W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.

.FROM 15N TO 18N W OF 138W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 
FT. FROM 18N TO 21N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
NE SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0800 UTC MON JUL 16...
.HURRICANE FABIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF COAST FROM 
02N TO 04N.

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO 
FROM 20N TO 25N.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 08N78W TO 09N99W TO 09N98W TO 06N112W 
TO 09N117W THEN ITCZ AXIS TO 10N128W TO BEYOND 05N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS E OF 80W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W 
AND 99W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 45 NM S OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 99W AND 110W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.