000
FZPN03 KNHC 160323
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON JUL 16 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FABIO AT 17.8N 119.0W 979 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 16 
MOVING W-NW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT 
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...240 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 19.6N 121.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREAS OF STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FABIO NEAR 22.3N 121.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
IN AREAS OF STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 25.2N 
121.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 26.2N 
120.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS NEAR TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK SIZE AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 NM OF FABIO WINDS TO 
33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM 
OF FABIO WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM 
OF FABIO WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA AT 15.3N 140.6W AT 0300 UTC 
JUL 16 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 
GUSTS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 45 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA WELL W OF 
AREA. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N FROM 125W TO 135W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N W OF 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC MON JUL 16...

.HURRICANE FABIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N 
AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 08N91W TO 09N98W TO 08N110W TO 
08N115W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 12N123W TO 06N135W TO BEYOND 
05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS FROM 
95W TO 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM S OF AXIS FROM 
129W TO 133W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.