000
FZPN03 KNHC 101535
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE JUL 10 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 10
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 11
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 12

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 13.7N 113.7W 950 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 10 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 225 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...90 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 14.6N 117.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 15.6N 120.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 200 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 32 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 16.5N 124.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 17.5N 129.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 18.0N 134.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 15.3N 135.1W 996 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 
10 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N AND 50 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE...70 NM SE 
...80 NM SW AND 140 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 15.3N 140.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DANIEL NEAR 15.2N 
146.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DANIEL NEAR 15.0N 
152.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 150 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 22N BETWEEN 107W AND 119W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 270 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 210 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 240 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 450 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNING...WITHIN 420 NM N AND 120 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
09N TO 24N W OF 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNING...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 23N W OF 135W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N100W 1007 MB MOVING WNW 10 KT. FROM 12N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 98W AND 101W E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N102W 1006 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N105W 1002 MB. WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM W QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.S OF 09N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 125W AND 133W N TO NE WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC TUE JUL 10...

.HURRICANE EMILIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER.

.TROPICAL STORM DANIEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N83W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N100W TO 13N110W. 
ITCZ FROM 07N119W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 83W AND 100W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 99W AND 102W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.