000
FZPN03 KNHC 090943
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON JUL 09 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 09.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 11.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 15.4N 127.7W 977 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 09 
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT 
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE 
QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...90 
NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 29 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 15.6N 132.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...60 
NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 23 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 15.8N 138.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...45 
NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL NEAR 15.8N 144.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DANIEL NEAR 15.6N 
150.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DANIEL NEAR 15.4N 
156.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 11.9N 109.3W 987 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 09 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 45 
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 13.0N 113.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...
75 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 13.9N 116.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...
120 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 35 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 14.6N 120.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 15.4N 124.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 16.4N 129.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNING...WITHIN 390 NM NE QUADRANT 
...180 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 420 NM NW QUADRANT OF DANIEL WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 24N BETWEEN 
119W AND 134W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD 
MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNING...WITHIN 420 
NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF DANIEL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 24N W OF 127W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNING...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF 
DANIEL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 
24N W OF 133W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD 
MIX OF SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM E AND 120 NM 
W SEMICIRCLES OF EMILIA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 101W AND 112W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 270 
NM N AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF EMILIA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 20N BETWEEN 106W AND 117W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 270 
NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF EMILIA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 23N BETWEEN 108W AND 124W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.

.N OF 27N E OF 121W TO COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NW TO 
N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 
14N97W INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 07N TO 15N W OF 136W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
NE AND SE SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS SHIFT W OF AREA.

.LOW PRES NEAR 09.5N95.5W 1008 MB. FROM 09.5N TO 14N BETWEEN 95W 
AND 100 NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10.5N98W 1007 MB. FROM 10.5N TO 
14N BETWEEN 97W AND 102W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 12N101W 1006 MB. FROM 12N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 100W AND 104W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.FROM 10.5N TO 12N E OF 90W INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 09N BETWEEN 97W AND 130W AND S OF 07N W OF 130W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN PRIMARILY SE TO S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 09N BETWEEN 107W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL. S OF 10N W OF 130W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W AND S OF 10N W 
OF 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE 
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC MON JUL 09...

.HURRICANE DANIEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM N AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES.

.HURRICANE EMILIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM W 
AND 60-75 NM E SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
IN A BAND BETWEEN 120 AND 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE.

.LOW PRES NEAR 09.5N95.5W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 45-60 NM E SEMICIRCLE. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 07N TO 
09N BETWEEN 97W AND 100W.

.TROPICAL WAVE N OF 14N ALONG 94W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
N OF 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W AND ALSO N OF 14N BETWEEN 97W AND 
100W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 02N TO 06N WITHIN 150 NM W OF 
COAST OF COLOMBIA.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 09N80W TO 09N90W. THE INTERTROPICAL 
CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N129W TO 07N140W. NO 
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.