000
FZPN03 KNHC 071515
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT JUL 07 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 14.9N 119.2W 980 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 07 
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT 
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 70 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 15.2N 123.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 15.8N 128.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 16.4N 134.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL NEAR 16.5N 141.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DANIEL NEAR 16.5N
147.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER OF 
DANIEL...EXCEPT 240 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...300 NM SE AND 240 NM SW QUADRANTS OF DANIEL WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 390 NM NW 
AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF DANIEL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 09N99.5W 1006 MB. WITHIN 25 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 98W 
AND 102W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR  
10.5N105W 1003 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF 
LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
12N109W 1002 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF 
LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 16N W OF 125W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 15N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 12N W OF 135W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT.

.N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N 
TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W INCLUDING GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W INCLUDING GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.S OF 04N BETWEEN 84W AND 88W...S OF 06N BETWEEN 92W AND 110W 
AND S OF 04N W OF 110W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
SE TO S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 04N BETWEEN 84W AND 88W...S OF 07N 
BETWEEN 92W AND 110W...AND S OF 04N W OF 110W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N BETWEEN 105W AND 135W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY SE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1430 UTC SAT JUL 07...

.HURRICANE DANIEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 115W AND 119W. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 09N99.5W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 09N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 98W AND 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 07N78W TO 11N95W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
09N99.5W 1006 MB THEN RESUMES W OF DANIEL FROM 12N120W TO 
08N129W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 
08N129W TO BEYOND 07N140W. CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION FROM 04N TO 07N E OF 79W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. 
ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 09N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 88W AND 
94W. 

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.