000
FZPN03 KNHC 150250
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI JUN 15 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUN 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUN 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUN 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 12.5N 94.7W 994 MB AT 0300 UTC JUN 
15 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 25 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW 
AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 13.5N 95.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 14.8N 96.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 120 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 16.2N 98.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM 
NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 16.5N 100.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 16.5N 100.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 16.5N 100.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 
NM SW AND 180 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM NE 
AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CARLOTTA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 
12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM NE 
AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CARLOTTA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 
12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 90 NM NE 
AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CARLOTTA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 
12 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 13N110W 1005 MB MOVING NW 10 KT. WITHIN 270 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
360 NM SE SEMICIRCLE S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SW SWELL. FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 110W AND 116W SW WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N111W 1005 MB. WITHIN 330 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLE S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 16N111W 1004 MB. WITHIN 360 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLE S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W SW 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.N OF 26N BETWEEN 120W AND 129W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT NW TO N SWELL. FROM 20N TO 26N BETWEEN 124W AND 130W N TO 
NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 119W AND 131W NW TO N WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. FROM 17N TO 25N W 
OF 125W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 23N W OF 125W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT...HIGHEST N OF 27N BETWEEN 126W AND 135W. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN 
MIX OF NORTHERLY SWELL...HIGHEST N. FROM 16N TO 23N W OF 129W NE 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0145 UTC FRI JUN 15...

.NUMEROUS STRONG OCCURRING IN SOLID BAND WITHIN 120 NM NW 
QUADRANT OF CARLOTTA. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE 
TO STRONG OCCURRING IN BANDS WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 180 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES OF CARLOTTA. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LOW PRES OVER COLOMBIA NEAR 08N74W 
TO 10N90W...WHERE IT HAS SEPARATED FROM T.S. CARLOTTA...THEN 
RESUMES W OF T.S. CARLOTTA AT 13N100W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N110W 
1005 MB TO 09N123W TO 04N132W...WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ... 
CONTINUING TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION NOTED FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 101W AND 123W.
 
$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.