000
FZPN03 KNHC 241603
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU MAY 24 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU MAY 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI MAY 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT MAY 26.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BUD NEAR 15.7N 106.7W 970 MB AT 1500 UTC MAY 24
MOVING NNE OR 030 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 29 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BUD NEAR 17.7N 105.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 27 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 19.0N 105.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 135 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 18.5N 106.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 18.0N
107.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 17.5N 
108.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 
270 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WINDS TO 33 KT. 
SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM 
SE AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF HURRICANE BUD WINDS TO 33 KT. 
SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BUD WINDS TO 33 
KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.N OF 25N BETWEEN 118W AND 125W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
10 TO 15 FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N W OF 115W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 118W AND 125W NW TO N WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT IN N SWELL. N OF 18N W OF 125W N 
TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N BETWEEN 115W 
AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N E OF 125W NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN NW SWELL. N OF 15N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC WED MAY 23...

.TROPICAL STORM BUD...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF BUD.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM CENTRAL COSTA RICA TO 14N93W. MONSOON TROUGH 
RESUMES FROM 12N111W TO 08N120W. ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N111W 
TO 04N140W. SCATTERED CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF 
AXIS BETWEEN 117W AND 122W. 

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 05N E OF 95W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.