000
FZPN03 KNHC 231550
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED MAY 23 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED MAY 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU MAY 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI MAY 25.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 13.4N 107.6W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC MAY 23
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SE QUADRANT AND 
60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BUD NEAR 14.0N 108.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN SEAS.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BUD NEAR 14.7N 108.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NW NW SEMICIRLCE...90 
NM NE QUADRANT...AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH HIGHEST SEAS TO 23 
FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BUD NEAR 16.8N 106.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NW NW SEMICIRLCE...105 
NM NE QUADRANT...AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH HIGHEST SEAS TO 24 
FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 18.0N 106.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 17.5N 106.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD NEAR 17.0N 108.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 
120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM BUD WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS 
TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM 
NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF 
HURRICANE BUD WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM 
NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF 
HURRICANE BUD WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.FROM 06N TO 25N W OF 125W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. N OF 20N 
BETWEEN 118W AND 130W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 13N W OF 135W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 
FT. N OF 22N BETWEEN 118W AND 130W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 18N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
N OF 25N BETWEEN 118W AND 130W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1200 UTC WED MAY 23...

.TROPICAL STORM BUD...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM 
NW SEMICIRCLE...AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FORM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH 08N83W TO 12N98W...THEN 12N110W TO 06N121W. ITCZ 
06N121 TO BEYOND 04N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 81W AND 88W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.