000
FZPN03 KNHC 221631
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE MAY 22 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE MAY 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED MAY 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU MAY 24.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 11.1N 104.0W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC MAY 22 
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW QUADRANT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 12 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 12.8N 106.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE AND 60 NM NW QUADRANTS. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BUD NEAR 14.6N 106.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BUD NEAR 16.5N 105.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 18.0N 104.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 18.0N 105.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...180 
NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM BUD 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 NM NE 
QUADRANT...360 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL
STORM BUD WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM 
OF HURRICANE BUD WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W TO 13N97W INCLUDING 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 96W AND 101W E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 27N BETWEEN 119W AND 124W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT. FROM 14N TO 24N W OF 132W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N FROM 119W AND 128W NW TO N WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. FROM 16N TO 25N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N FROM 118W TO 130W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL. N OF 18N W OF 130W NE WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC TUE MAY 22...

.TROPICAL STORM BUD...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 300 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM 
ELSEWHERE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 07N90W TO TROPICAL STORM BUD... 
RESUMES FROM 10N108W TO 06N123W. ITCZ FROM 06N123W TO 05N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S 
OF TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 117W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.