000
FZPN03 KNHC 160932
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN OCT 16 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 18.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 14.3N 107.5W 1006 MB AT 0900 UTC 
OCT 16 MOVING SSW OR 210 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM
S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 13.9N 108.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 13.8N 
109.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN
300 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 13.5N
109.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 13.0N
108.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 13N94W... 
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT. FROM 03N TO 13N E OF 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 20N
BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
N SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 130W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 13N93W..INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. FROM 05N TO 13N BETWEEN 86W AND 100W
SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN SW SWELL. 
ELSEWHERE S OF 07N BETWEEN 92W AND 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 110W AND 118W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
N SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W AND S OF 08N
BETWEEN 120W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN
SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 13N93W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 07N E OF 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N
BETWEEN 110W AND 117W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
N SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W AND FROM 03N 
TO 07N BETWEEN 120W AND 124W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.

.LOW N OF AREA NEAR 31N137W 1007 MOVING SE 10 KT MB WITH COLD 
FRONT FROM LOW TO 30N131W TO 24N133W TO 20N140W. NW OF FRONT
W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 30N136W 1008 MB WITH WEAKENING COLD 
FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 30N130W TO 20N135W. W OF FRONT WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. NW OF LINE FROM 20N133W 
TO 14N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW N OF AREA WEAKENING FARTHER N OF AREA WITH
DISSIPATING COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 30N130W TO 23N134W. FROM 
12N TO 25N W OF 130W AND N OF 25N W OF 138W WINDS LESS THAN
20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW  SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0815 UTC SUN OCT 16...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN
90 NM S QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 12N112W TO 09N124W TO 11N140W.
SCATTERED STRONG FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 90W AND 96W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS 9N115W...FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 
120W AND 127W...AND FROM 08N TO 09N BETWEEN 133W AND 136W. 
 
$$
.FORECASTER MT. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.