000 FZPN03 KNHC 091536 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC SUN OCT 09 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 09. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 10. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 11. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 16.2N 108.7W 978 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 09 MOVING E OR 090 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 16.2N 106.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 85 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 100 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...270 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 17.5N 105.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 105 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...240 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA INLAND NEAR 20.3N 104.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA INLAND NEAR 23.5N 104.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 15.2N 119.8W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 09 MOVING NE OR 055 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 15.8N 117.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 15.5N 114.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 15.8N 111.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 17.6N 107.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 19.0N 106.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN THE JOVA AND IRWIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF JOVA AND WITHIN 270 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF IRWIN WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 24N BETWEEN 105W AND 135W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY SW TO W SWELL .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN THE JOVA AND IRWIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF JOVA AND WITHIN 300 OF IRWIN WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 130W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 07N TO 23N BETWEEN 100W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN THE JOVA AND IRWIN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM OF JOVA AND IRWIN WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 95W AND 120W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN MIXED W AND SW SWELL. REMAINDER AREA FROM 06N TO 21N BETWEEN 95W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY NW AND W SWELL. .FROM 18N TO 25N W OF 135W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 24N W OF 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N BETWEEN 123W AND 128W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 23N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .LOW PRES NEAR 11N96W 1006 MB. FROM 04N TO 09N E OF 105W SW TO W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 11N94W 1006 MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW PRES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 04N TO 11N E OF 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 12N92W 1005 MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 11N E OF 95W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SUN OCT 09... .HURRICANE JOVA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 110W AND 114W. .TROPICAL STORM IRWIN...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. .LOW PRES 11N96W 1006 MB...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION BETWEEN 75 NM AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 13N87W TO 13N90W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N96W WHERE THERE IS A BREAK IN THE TROUGH DUE TO THE CIRCULATION AROUND HURRICANE IRWIN AND TROPICAL STORM JOVA. THE MONSOON TROUGH CONTINUES FROM 12N127W...THEN ITCZ AXIS TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS E OF 91W WITH NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE N OF 06N BETWEEN 81W AND 89W. $$ .FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.