000 FZPN03 KNHC 090313 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC SUN OCT 09 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 09. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 10. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 11. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 16.0N 109.6W 989 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 09 MOVING E OR 090 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 15.9N 107.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 105 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM E SEMICIRCLE... 210 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 16.7N 105.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 105 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...70 NM NW QUADRANT AND 135 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 19.0N 104.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA INLAND NEAR 23.0N 104.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. ...TROPICAL WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 14.7N 120.3W 997 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 09 MOVING NE OR 050 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...50 NM NW QUADRANT AND 75 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 15.3N 118.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 15.6N 115.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT... AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 15.5N 113.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 17.0N 109.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 20.0N 107.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 106W AND 115W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 22N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 100W AND 113W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 06N TO 20N BETWEEN 100W AND 113W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16.5N TO 22N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W AND FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14.5N TO 22N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 113W AND 122W AND FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 113W AND 125W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 06N TO 20N BETWEEN 113W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 110W AND 122W AND FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 122W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 22N BETWEEN 110W AND 122W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. .GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 26N TO 30N NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .FROM 17N TO 22N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. FROM 10N TO 17N W OF 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. N OF 22N W OF A LINE FROM 30N120W TO 22N110W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 20N TO 25N W OF 110W AND FROM 10N TO 20N W OF 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 22N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. FROM 10N TO 22N W OF 122W AND FROM 22N TO 25N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 122W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. .LOW PRES NEAR 11N96.5W 1007 MB. FROM 04N TO 11N BETWEEN 80W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 11N94.5W 1006 MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 12N E OF 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 12N92.5W 1005 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF LOW CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN 80W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC SUN OCT 09... .TROPICAL STORM IRWIN...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 122W AND 127W. .HURRICANE JOVA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60-90 OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 11.5N TO 18N BETWEEN 108W AND 115W. .SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 10N E OF 85W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH ALONG 11N86W TO 1007 MB LOW PRES NEAR 11N96W TO 12N98W WHERE THERE IS A BREAK IN THE TROUGH DUE TO THE CIRCULATION AROUND TROPICAL STORM IRWIN AND HURRICANE JOVA. THE MONSOON TROUGH THEN RESUMES FROM 13N124W TO 08N136W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N136W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW CENTER AND FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 97W AND 103W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 103W AND 106W. $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.