000 FZPN03 KNHC 290945 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC THU SEP 29 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 29. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 30. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 01. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 20.0N 119.9W 996 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 29 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 22.0N 121.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 23.5N 122.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 23.5N 124.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 22.5N 125.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM NE AND SE...120 NM SW AND 210 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 09N BETWEEN 110W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELLS. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 120 NM SE QUADRANTS AND 150 W SEMICIRCLE 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 27N BETWEEN 114W AND 129W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. CONFUSED SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 120 NM NE...30 NM SE...120 NM SW AND 150 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 19N TO 27N BETWEEN 119W TO 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. CONFUSED SEAS TO 8 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .LOW PRES NEAR 11N133W 1010 MB. WITHIN 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE SE TO S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. FROM 12N TO 26N BETWEEN 112W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. CONFUSED SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 26N W OF 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N134W 1009 MB. WITHIN 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE S TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 19N W OF 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10.5N134W 1009 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .NW OF LINE 30N129W TO 29N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N W OF 118W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N137W TO 28N140W. N OF 29N W OF 138W N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE...EXCEPT AS NOTED WITH HILARY...N OF LINE 28N114W TO 20N130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MERGING NW AND SE SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N130W TO 24N140W. NW OF FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15.5N N WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N95W TO 14.5N95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0730 UTC THU SEP 29... .TROPICAL STORM HILARY...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT OF CENTER. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE SW CARIBBEAN NW THROUGH CENTRAL AMERICA ENTERING THE E PACIFIC NEAR 14N81W TO 09N109W WHERE IT ENDS. THERE IS NO ITCZ OR MONSOON TROUGH FROM 109W TO 125W AS A RESULT OF THE DIFFLUENT FLOW INDUCED BETWEEN TROPICAL STORM HILLARY AND LOW PRES NEAR 11N133W. THE ITCZ STARTS NEAR 14N125W TO LOW PRES 11N133W 1010 MB EXTENDING W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 07N E OF 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 240 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 95W AND 109W. $$ .FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.